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Review workbench

High-priority unexplained moves

7 shown

Aug 6, 2024

Broad market moved +9.41% with this stockBroad market context explains +9.41 percentage points of the +18.52% daily move. Remaining company-specific residual is +16.41 percentage points and still needs direct catalyst coverage. · Context With Residual Review · macro

Move +18.52%Macro / market +9.41%Sector after macro -8.10%Industry after sector +0.79%Residual after context +16.41%

Review priority 88 · Source rank 54 · Volume 1.9x

Source gap missing_direct_company_catalyst · Next action research_company_specific_news

Decomposition: Macro +9.41% · Sector -8.10% · Industry +0.79% · Peer Specific +0.00% · Company Catalyst +0.00% · Unexplained Residual +16.41%

Apr 28, 2026

No relevant stored event for up moveNo relevant stored event label passed the company move-attribution threshold for this +9.83% daily move. · Unexplained High Priority · generated

Move +9.83%Macro / market +1.44%Sector after macro -1.01%Industry after sector +0.08%Residual after context +9.31%

Review priority 80 · Source rank 0 · Volume 3.9x

Source gap missing_direct_company_catalyst · Next action research_company_specific_news

Macro surprise surprise_pct_of_forecast -2.72 · score 27%

Decomposition: Macro +1.44% · Sector -1.01% · Industry +0.08% · Peer Specific +0.00% · Company Catalyst +0.00% · Unexplained Residual +9.31%Rejected labels: BoJ Interest Rate Decision (macro_without_surprise) · BoJ Interest Rate Decision (macro_without_surprise) · BoJ Interest Rate Decision (macro_without_surprise) · BoJ Interest Rate Decision (macro_without_surprise) · BoJ Interest Rate Decision (macro_without_surprise) · BoJ Interest Rate Decision (macro_without_surprise) · BoJ Interest Rate Decision (macro_without_surprise) · BoJ Interest Rate Decision (macro_without_surprise)

Aug 5, 2024

Broad market moved -11.80% with this stockBroad market context explains -11.80 percentage points of the -15.04% daily move. Remaining company-specific residual is -10.41 percentage points and still needs direct catalyst coverage. · Context With Residual Review · macro

Move -15.04%Macro / market -11.80%Sector after macro +8.50%Industry after sector -1.32%Residual after context -10.41%

Review priority 79 · Source rank 54 · Volume 3.0x

Source gap missing_direct_company_catalyst · Next action research_company_specific_news

Decomposition: Macro -11.80% · Sector +8.50% · Industry -1.32% · Peer Specific +0.00% · Company Catalyst +0.00% · Unexplained Residual -10.41%

Mar 19, 2020

Sector group moved -3.19% with this stockSector group context explains -3.19 percentage points of the -11.99% daily move. Remaining company-specific residual is -9.36 percentage points and still needs direct catalyst coverage. · Context With Residual Review · sector

Move -11.99%Macro / market -0.67%Sector after macro -2.53%Industry after sector +0.56%Residual after context -9.36%

Review priority 76 · Source rank 56 · Volume 2.9x

Source gap missing_direct_company_catalyst · Next action research_company_specific_news

Decomposition: Macro -0.67% · Sector -2.53% · Industry +0.56% · Peer Specific +0.00% · Company Catalyst +0.00% · Unexplained Residual -9.36%

Nov 10, 2020

Sector group moved +3.04% with this stockSector group context explains +3.04 percentage points of the +8.65% daily move. Remaining company-specific residual is +5.92 percentage points and still needs direct catalyst coverage. · Context With Residual Review · sector

Move +8.65%Macro / market +2.29%Sector after macro +0.75%Industry after sector -0.31%Residual after context +5.92%

Review priority 73 · Source rank 56 · Volume 4.1x

Source gap missing_direct_company_catalyst · Next action research_company_specific_news

Decomposition: Macro +2.29% · Sector +0.75% · Industry -0.31% · Peer Specific +0.00% · Company Catalyst +0.00% · Unexplained Residual +5.92%

Aug 2, 2024

Broad market moved -5.51% with this stockBroad market context explains -5.51 percentage points of the -8.22% daily move. Remaining company-specific residual is -5.58 percentage points and still needs direct catalyst coverage. · Context With Residual Review · macro

Move -8.22%Macro / market -5.51%Sector after macro +3.25%Industry after sector -0.39%Residual after context -5.58%

Review priority 65 · Source rank 54 · Volume 2.2x

Source gap missing_direct_company_catalyst · Next action research_company_specific_news

Decomposition: Macro -5.51% · Sector +3.25% · Industry -0.39% · Peer Specific +0.00% · Company Catalyst +0.00% · Unexplained Residual -5.58%

Apr 7, 2025

Broad market moved -8.39% with this stockBroad market context explains -8.39 percentage points of the -9.17% daily move. Remaining company-specific residual is -5.90 percentage points and still needs direct catalyst coverage. · Context With Residual Review · macro

Move -9.17%Macro / market -8.39%Sector after macro +3.89%Industry after sector +1.22%Residual after context -5.90%

Review priority 65 · Source rank 54 · Volume 1.9x

Source gap missing_reliable_context_label · Next action research_macro_sector_and_company_news

Decomposition: Macro -8.39% · Sector +3.89% · Industry +1.22% · Peer Specific +0.00% · Company Catalyst +0.00% · Unexplained Residual -5.90%

ORIX Corporation

Large moves, explained residuals, and research gaps

High-priority unexplained moves

Accepted price-move labels

Date	Label	Move	Residual after context	Scope	Confidence
Aug 6, 2024	Broad market moved +9.41% with this stock	+18.52%	+16.41%	Macro	58%
Aug 5, 2024	Broad market moved -11.80% with this stock	-15.04%	-10.41%	Macro	58%
Mar 19, 2020	Sector group moved -3.19% with this stock	-11.99%	-9.36%	Sector	58%
Nov 10, 2020	Sector group moved +3.04% with this stock	+8.65%	+5.92%	Sector	58%
Aug 2, 2024	Broad market moved -5.51% with this stock	-8.22%	-5.58%	Macro	58%
Apr 7, 2025	Broad market moved -8.39% with this stock	-9.17%	-5.90%	Macro	58%
Mar 9, 2020	Closest peers moved -7.63% with this stock	-8.82%	-1.19%	Peer	58%
May 12, 2026	ORIX: Strong revenue and profit growth, with robust outlook and major asset sale ahead	+8.56%	-0.10%	Direct	77%
May 12, 2026	Orix Corp.: To Buy Back Up to Y250B of Own Shares From May 22 2026 to March 31 2027	+8.56%	-0.10%	Direct	76%
May 12, 2026	ORIX: Record profits and higher ROE set the stage for further growth and enhanced shareholder returns	+8.56%	-0.10%	Direct	76%