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High-priority unexplained moves

8 shown

Mar 5, 2024

No relevant stored event for up moveNo relevant stored event label passed the company move-attribution threshold for this +20.59% daily move. · Unexplained High Priority · generated

Move +20.59%Macro / market +0.24%Sector after macro -0.26%Industry after sector +1.95%Residual after context +18.66%

Review priority 100 · Source rank 0 · Volume 5.6x

Source gap missing_direct_company_catalyst · Next action research_company_specific_news

Decomposition: Macro +0.24% · Sector -0.26% · Industry +1.95% · Peer Specific +0.00% · Company Catalyst +0.00% · Unexplained Residual +18.66%

Aug 6, 2024

Broad market moved +9.38% with this stockBroad market context explains +9.38 percentage points of the +17.80% daily move. Remaining company-specific residual is +13.94 percentage points and still needs direct catalyst coverage. · Context With Residual Review · macro

Move +17.80%Macro / market +9.38%Sector after macro -5.87%Industry after sector +0.35%Residual after context +13.94%

Review priority 84 · Source rank 54 · Volume 2.4x

Source gap missing_direct_company_catalyst · Next action research_company_specific_news

Decomposition: Macro +9.38% · Sector -5.87% · Industry +0.35% · Peer Specific +0.00% · Company Catalyst +0.00% · Unexplained Residual +13.94%

May 14, 2024

No relevant stored event for up moveNo relevant stored event label passed the company move-attribution threshold for this +13.39% daily move. · Unexplained High Priority · generated

Move +13.39%Macro / market +0.32%Sector after macro +0.85%Industry after sector +1.35%Residual after context +10.88%

Review priority 83 · Source rank 0 · Volume 3.8x

Source gap missing_direct_company_catalyst · Next action research_company_specific_news

Decomposition: Macro +0.32% · Sector +0.85% · Industry +1.35% · Peer Specific +0.00% · Company Catalyst +0.00% · Unexplained Residual +10.88%

Nov 5, 2025

No relevant stored event for up moveNo relevant stored event label passed the company move-attribution threshold for this +8.50% daily move. · Unexplained Review · generated

Move +8.50%Macro / market -1.03%Sector after macro +1.21%Industry after sector -0.60%Residual after context +8.92%

Review priority 77 · Source rank 0 · Volume 3.2x

Source gap missing_direct_company_catalyst · Next action research_company_specific_news

Decomposition: Macro -1.03% · Sector +1.21% · Industry -0.60% · Peer Specific +0.00% · Company Catalyst +0.00% · Unexplained Residual +8.92%

Nov 8, 2021

No relevant stored event for down moveNo relevant stored event label passed the company move-attribution threshold for this -9.18% daily move. · Unexplained Review · generated

Move -9.18%Macro / market -0.38%Sector after macro +0.30%Industry after sector -1.18%Residual after context -7.93%

Review priority 75 · Source rank 0 · Volume 3.4x

Source gap missing_direct_company_catalyst · Next action research_company_specific_news

Decomposition: Macro -0.38% · Sector +0.30% · Industry -1.18% · Peer Specific +0.00% · Company Catalyst +0.00% · Unexplained Residual -7.93%

Feb 9, 2026

Broad market moved +2.56% with this stockBroad market context explains +2.56 percentage points of the +8.11% daily move. Remaining company-specific residual is +5.75 percentage points and still needs direct catalyst coverage. · Context With Residual Review · macro

Move +8.11%Macro / market +2.56%Sector after macro -1.58%Industry after sector +1.39%Residual after context +5.75%

Review priority 69 · Source rank 54 · Volume 3.1x

Source gap missing_direct_company_catalyst · Next action research_company_specific_news

Decomposition: Macro +2.56% · Sector -1.58% · Industry +1.39% · Peer Specific +0.00% · Company Catalyst +0.00% · Unexplained Residual +5.75%

Aug 5, 2024

Broad market moved -11.81% with this stockBroad market context explains -11.81 percentage points of the -12.81% daily move. Remaining company-specific residual is -5.56 percentage points and still needs direct catalyst coverage. · Context With Residual Review · macro

Move -12.81%Macro / market -11.81%Sector after macro +4.60%Industry after sector -0.04%Residual after context -5.56%

Review priority 65 · Source rank 54 · Volume 2.1x

Source gap missing_reliable_context_label · Next action research_macro_sector_and_company_news

Decomposition: Macro -11.81% · Sector +4.60% · Industry -0.04% · Peer Specific +0.00% · Company Catalyst +0.00% · Unexplained Residual -5.56%

Mar 27, 2020

Broad market moved +3.92% with this stockBroad market context explains +3.92 percentage points of the +8.78% daily move. Remaining company-specific residual is +6.71 percentage points and still needs direct catalyst coverage. · Context With Residual Review · macro

Move +8.78%Macro / market +3.92%Sector after macro -3.38%Industry after sector +1.52%Residual after context +6.71%

Review priority 63 · Source rank 54 · Volume 1.2x

Source gap missing_direct_company_catalyst · Next action research_company_specific_news

Decomposition: Macro +3.92% · Sector -3.38% · Industry +1.52% · Peer Specific +0.00% · Company Catalyst +0.00% · Unexplained Residual +6.71%

Obayashi Corporation

Large moves, explained residuals, and research gaps

High-priority unexplained moves

Accepted price-move labels

Date	Label	Move	Residual after context	Scope	Confidence
Aug 6, 2024	Broad market moved +9.38% with this stock	+17.80%	+13.94%	Macro	58%
Feb 9, 2026	Broad market moved +2.56% with this stock	+8.11%	+5.75%	Macro	58%
Aug 5, 2024	Broad market moved -11.81% with this stock	-12.81%	-5.56%	Macro	58%
Mar 27, 2020	Broad market moved +3.92% with this stock	+8.78%	+6.71%	Macro	58%
Mar 25, 2020	Closest peers moved +9.58% with this stock	+11.40%	+1.83%	Peer	58%