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High-priority unexplained moves

6 shown

Jan 22, 2024

No relevant stored event for down moveNo relevant stored event label passed the company move-attribution threshold for this -24.20% daily move. · Unexplained High Priority · generated

Move -24.20%Macro / market +0.59%Sector after macro -0.66%Industry after sector -1.39%Residual after context -22.73%

Review priority 100 · Source rank 0 · Volume 15.3x

Source gap missing_direct_company_catalyst · Next action research_company_specific_news

Decomposition: Macro +0.59% · Sector -0.66% · Industry -1.39% · Peer Specific +0.00% · Company Catalyst +0.00% · Unexplained Residual -22.73%

Mar 13, 2020

Broad market moved +8.26% with this stockBroad market context explains +8.26 percentage points of the +9.83% daily move. Remaining company-specific residual is +11.58 percentage points and still needs direct catalyst coverage. · Context With Residual Review · macro

Move +9.83%Macro / market +8.26%Sector after macro -8.18%Industry after sector -1.83%Residual after context +11.58%

Review priority 75 · Source rank 54 · Volume 1.5x

Source gap missing_direct_company_catalyst · Next action research_company_specific_news

Decomposition: Macro +8.26% · Sector -8.18% · Industry -1.83% · Peer Specific +0.00% · Company Catalyst +0.00% · Unexplained Residual +11.58%

Mar 20, 2020

Broad market moved -3.65% with this stockBroad market context explains -3.65 percentage points of the -8.52% daily move. Remaining company-specific residual is -10.61 percentage points and still needs direct catalyst coverage. · Context With Residual Review · macro

Move -8.52%Macro / market -3.65%Sector after macro +6.07%Industry after sector -0.34%Residual after context -10.61%

Review priority 71 · Source rank 54 · Volume 1.0x

Source gap missing_direct_company_catalyst · Next action research_company_specific_news

Decomposition: Macro -3.65% · Sector +6.07% · Industry -0.34% · Peer Specific +0.00% · Company Catalyst +0.00% · Unexplained Residual -10.61%

Apr 4, 2025

Broad market moved -6.05% with this stockBroad market context explains -6.05 percentage points of the -8.93% daily move. Remaining company-specific residual is -6.73 percentage points and still needs direct catalyst coverage. · Context With Residual Review · macro

Move -8.93%Macro / market -6.05%Sector after macro +2.14%Industry after sector +1.71%Residual after context -6.73%

Review priority 63 · Source rank 54 · Volume 1.1x

Source gap missing_direct_company_catalyst · Next action research_company_specific_news

Decomposition: Macro -6.05% · Sector +2.14% · Industry +1.71% · Peer Specific +0.00% · Company Catalyst +0.00% · Unexplained Residual -6.73%

Mar 24, 2020

Broad market moved +10.09% with this stockBroad market context explains +10.09 percentage points of the +10.27% daily move. Remaining company-specific residual is +6.48 percentage points and still needs direct catalyst coverage. · Context With Residual Review · macro

Move +10.27%Macro / market +10.09%Sector after macro -3.93%Industry after sector -2.37%Residual after context +6.48%

Review priority 62 · Source rank 54 · Volume 1.0x

Source gap missing_reliable_context_label · Next action research_macro_sector_and_company_news

Decomposition: Macro +10.09% · Sector -3.93% · Industry -2.37% · Peer Specific +0.00% · Company Catalyst +0.00% · Unexplained Residual +6.48%

Mar 12, 2020

Broad market moved -9.13% with this stockBroad market context explains -9.13 percentage points of the -10.07% daily move. Remaining company-specific residual is -4.91 percentage points and still needs direct catalyst coverage. · Context With Residual Review · macro

Move -10.07%Macro / market -9.13%Sector after macro +2.81%Industry after sector +1.17%Residual after context -4.91%

Review priority 62 · Source rank 54 · Volume 1.8x

Source gap missing_reliable_context_label · Next action research_macro_sector_and_company_news

Decomposition: Macro -9.13% · Sector +2.81% · Industry +1.17% · Peer Specific +0.00% · Company Catalyst +0.00% · Unexplained Residual -4.91%

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company

Large moves, explained residuals, and research gaps

High-priority unexplained moves

Accepted price-move labels

Date	Label	Move	Residual after context	Scope	Confidence
Mar 13, 2020	Broad market moved +8.26% with this stock	+9.83%	+11.58%	Macro	58%
Mar 20, 2020	Broad market moved -3.65% with this stock	-8.52%	-10.61%	Macro	58%
Apr 4, 2025	Broad market moved -6.05% with this stock	-8.93%	-6.73%	Macro	58%
Mar 24, 2020	Broad market moved +10.09% with this stock	+10.27%	+6.48%	Macro	58%
Mar 12, 2020	Broad market moved -9.13% with this stock	-10.07%	-4.91%	Macro	58%