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Company research · GDX

Northern Star Resources Ltd

ASX:NST

Precious Metals · benchmarked against Precious Metals inside the GDX constituent company universe.

Open market view Back to ETF companies

Opportunity-adjusted verdict

Weak37/100

Market cap19.2B

Last close19.41

1M return-10.84%

FCF yield+1.55%

Stored price tapeDaily OHLC candles

+1.94%

Full history and event labels

May 8, 3:00 PM O 21.25 H 21.72 L 21.06 C 21.16 V 7908590, May 11, 7:00 AM O 21.03 H 21.42 L 20.75 C 20.75 V 6420536, May 11, 3:00 PM O 21.03 H 21.42 L 20.75 C 20.75 V 6420536, May 12, 7:00 AM O 21.36 H 21.71 L 21.08 C 21.42 V 6618687, May 12, 3:00 PM O 21.36 H 21.71 L 21.08 C 21.42 V 6618687, May 13, 7:00 AM O 21.55 H 21.86 L 21.34 C 21.64 V 3592084, May 13, 3:00 PM O 21.55 H 21.86 L 21.34 C 21.64 V 3592084, May 14, 7:00 AM O 21.71 H 21.72 L 21.08 C 21.13 V 4446795, May 14, 3:00 PM O 21.71 H 21.72 L 21.08 C 21.13 V 4446795, May 15, 7:00 AM O 20.9 H 21.03 L 20.34 C 20.5 V 5322317, May 15, 3:00 PM O 20.9 H 21.03 L 20.34 C 20.5 V 5322317, May 18, 7:00 AM O 20 H 20.16 L 19.53 C 20 V 5310208, May 19, 7:00 AM O 20.35 H 20.35 L 19.64 C 19.86 V 4070509, May 20, 7:00 AM O 19.8 H 19.85 L 19.26 C 19.35 V 6160016, May 21, 7:00 AM O 18.77 H 19.42 L 18.65 C 18.94 V 13501300, May 22, 7:00 AM O 19.22 H 19.31 L 18.71 C 18.83 V 10159613, May 25, 7:00 AM O 19.65 H 20.02 L 19.58 C 19.91 V 5016300, May 26, 7:00 AM O 20 H 20.17 L 19.5 C 19.68 V 4396160, May 27, 7:00 AM O 19.79 H 19.99 L 19.63 C 19.67 V 4865979, May 28, 7:00 AM O 19.17 H 19.39 L 18.05 C 18.2 V 8125704, May 29, 7:00 AM O 19.11 H 19.13 L 18.81 C 18.81 V 14764990, Jun 1, 7:00 AM O 18.75 H 18.98 L 18.51 C 18.51 V 4642378, Jun 2, 7:00 AM O 20.05 H 21.09 L 19.55 C 21.03 V 15340906, Jun 3, 7:00 AM O 22 H 22.79 L 21.71 C 21.71 V 16765890, Jun 4, 7:00 AM O 21 H 21.12 L 20.31 C 20.39 V 6840471, Jun 5, 7:00 AM O 20.41 H 20.6 L 19.88 C 19.88 V 6396707, Jun 9, 7:00 AM O 18.1 H 19.44 L 18.1 C 19.22 V 8264838, Jun 10, 7:00 AM O 18.8 H 19.11 L 18.33 C 18.54 V 6168947, Jun 11, 7:00 AM O 17.8 H 18.51 L 17.55 C 18.32 V 7942248, Jun 12, 7:00 AM O 19.23 H 19.51 L 19.07 C 19.26 V 5068900, Jun 15, 7:00 AM O 20.14 H 20.89 L 19.94 C 20.79 V 6885538, Jun 16, 7:00 AM O 20.99 H 21.46 L 20.85 C 21.3 V 6197457, Jun 17, 7:00 AM O 21.55 H 22.04 L 21.45 C 21.85 V 4221281, Jun 18, 7:00 AM O 21.5 H 21.63 L 21.14 C 21.5 V 6206722, Jun 19, 7:00 AM O 21.33 H 21.33 L 20.67 C 20.87 V 14128870, Jun 22, 7:00 AM O 20.52 H 21.34 L 20.41 C 21.2 V 4392905, Jun 23, 7:00 AM O 21.05 H 21.15 L 20.53 C 20.62 V 3716024, Jun 24, 7:00 AM O 20.8 H 20.8 L 20.33 C 20.59 V 5366424, Jun 25, 7:00 AM O 20.14 H 20.37 L 19.73 C 19.92 V 5182074, Jun 26, 7:00 AM O 20.25 H 20.59 L 20.08 C 20.59 V 3822433, Jun 29, 7:00 AM O 20.72 H 20.91 L 20.07 C 20.12 V 4133907, Jun 29, 3:00 PM O 20.72 H 20.91 L 20.07 C 20.12 V 4133907, Jun 30, 7:00 AM O 20.06 H 20.06 L 18.92 C 18.95 V 7964044, Jun 30, 3:00 PM O 20.06 H 20.06 L 18.92 C 18.95 V 7964044, Jul 1, 7:00 AM O 18.9 H 19.02 L 18.68 C 18.8 V 3449563, Jul 1, 3:00 PM O 18.9 H 19.02 L 18.68 C 18.8 V 3449563, Jul 2, 7:00 AM O 19.56 H 19.83 L 19.17 C 19.83 V 5211328, Jul 2, 3:00 PM O 19.56 H 19.83 L 19.17 C 19.83 V 5211328, Jul 3, 7:00 AM O 21.01 H 22.16 L 21.01 C 22.16 V 7157749, Jul 3, 3:00 PM O 21.01 H 22.16 L 21.01 C 22.16 V 7157749, Jul 6, 7:00 AM O 22 H 22.29 L 21.61 C 21.77 V 4559386, Jul 6, 3:00 PM O 22 H 22.29 L 21.61 C 21.77 V 4559386, Jul 7, 7:00 AM O 22.11 H 22.11 L 20.66 C 20.66 V 4342066, Jul 7, 3:00 PM O 22.11 H 22.11 L 20.66 C 20.66 V 4342066, Jul 8, 7:00 AM O 20.2 H 20.46 L 19.9 C 20.31 V 4635569, Jul 8, 3:00 PM O 20.2 H 20.46 L 19.9 C 20.31 V 4635569, Jul 9, 7:00 AM O 19.6 H 20.13 L 19.42 C 20.13 V 3344336, Jul 9, 3:00 PM O 19.6 H 20.13 L 19.42 C 20.13 V 3344336, Jul 10, 7:00 AM O 20.5 H 20.65 L 20.28 C 20.48 V 2629651, Jul 10, 3:00 PM O 20.5 H 20.65 L 20.28 C 20.48 V 2629651, Jul 13, 7:00 AM O 19.98 H 20.15 L 19.82 C 19.9 V 2940582, Jul 13, 3:00 PM O 19.98 H 20.15 L 19.82 C 19.9 V 2940582, Jul 14, 7:00 AM O 19.55 H 19.92 L 19.11 C 19.88 V 4104505, Jul 14, 3:00 PM O 19.55 H 19.92 L 19.11 C 19.88 V 4104505, Jul 15, 7:00 AM O 20.2 H 20.39 L 19.92 C 20.09 V 4384907, Jul 15, 3:00 PM O 20.2 H 20.39 L 19.92 C 20.09 V 4384907, Jul 16, 7:00 AM O 19.95 H 20.22 L 19.83 C 20.07 V 3030285, Jul 16, 3:00 PM O 19.95 H 20.22 L 19.83 C 20.07 V 3030285, Jul 17, 7:00 AM O 19.45 H 19.54 L 19.04 C 19.24 V 4171809, Jul 17, 3:00 PM O 19.45 H 19.54 L 19.04 C 19.24 V 4171809, Jul 20, 7:00 AM O 19.27 H 19.27 L 18.77 C 19.04 V 3561283, Jul 21, 7:00 AM O 19.14 H 19.42 L 18.79 C 19.41 V 1525313

From high -38.83%Drawdown -45.76%20D volume 0.42x

QualityMargin, returns, cash conversion, and balance-sheet support.

ValuationHigher means cheaper or better cash yield versus peers.

MomentumStored price returns, drawdown repair, and proximity to highs.

OpportunityMega-driver fit, inflection, catalyst, and breakout evidence.

Early signalDisclosure, theme macro, acceleration, and tape before the slower base score catches up.

AccelerationNear-term revenue, earnings, margin, cash-flow, and leverage changes.

CatalystOfficial disclosure and extracted signal evidence.

Theme macroCountry, sector, liquidity proxy, and structural theme alignment.

RiskLeverage, beta, drawdown pressure, and timing risk.

Opportunity score is part of the verdict

47/100 early opportunity signal

Mapped to metals, mining, steel, construction materials, and commodity cycles.

Early signal47/100Disclosure, theme macro, acceleration, and tape

Mega driver58/100Metals / mining resources

Theme macro50/100Metals / mining resources

Acceleration36/100Revenue, margin, EPS, cash flow, and leverage trend

Catalyst evidence76/100Official filings, updates, and extracted signals

Breakout8/100Price, volume, and proximity to high

Expectation reset41/100Old score lagging a strong setup

OverviewVerdict, thesis map, and valuation setup.FundamentalsDrivers, trajectory, and business quality.Financial reportsStatement tables, sorting, filtering, and acceleration.Ex-ante forecastTarget price, dividend yield, and total return by horizon.FactorsCompany factor exposure, rank, and universe context.Market viewMomentum, catalysts, charts, and symbol packet.AttributionLarge-move causes, residuals, and research backlog.OwnershipSEC 13F holder flow, crowding, and manager changes.PeersPeer heatmap and closest comparables.

Tab scope

Decision brief

Overview

Source and lookbackScorecard, fundamentals, price tape, peer medians5096 stored daily bars; latest price through Jul 21, 7:00 AM GMT+8; fundamentals synced Jul 21, 7:45 PM GMT+8.

Sample and caveat53 industry peers and 54 sector peers in the scorecard context.Use this tab for its stated job; heavier model packets stay on their own tabs.

At-a-glance read

Is this company good?

Fundamentals synced Jul 21, 7:45 PM GMT+8

ASX:NST screens weak overall. Quality is weak, valuation is mixed, momentum is weak, and risk is weak versus the available peer data.

Strengths

Opportunity score is lifting the read because theme, tape, macro, or inflection signals are stronger than the base score.
Free cash flow is positive relative to market value.

Watch items

Price momentum is weak, so timing risk is high.
Risk metrics are unfavorable versus peers or the stock is materially off its high.

Thesis map

Why the score looks this way

Precious Metals benchmark

Business qualityPressure

25/100

Gross margin +37.20% · 14th percentile vs Precious Metals
Net margin +22.24% · 35th percentile vs Precious Metals
Return on equity +12.80% · 25th percentile vs Precious Metals